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paulknowsball

@paulknowsball

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Find the edge, make money

NFLNFLNBANBANFNCAA FootballNBNCAA BasketballMLBMLBWNBAWNBAGame propsPlayer props
—180 gradedLast pick Aug 31
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Evidence Brief

93-86-1Record
52.0%Win %
-3.2%ROI
-14UUnits
180Sample
+0.02 ptsCLV

Sample maturity

Established 50+ · 180 graded

Established 50+ · Developing 10–49 · Early 0–9

Receipt IDs uniquely identify each timestamped submission. CLV appears only when SCL captures a verified market close; unavailable values remain em dashes rather than estimates.

By sport

Settled record in each sport — including results carried over from the previous SCL platform — so this table matches the Evidence Brief sample. Sorted by units. Each figure is colored from its own value — a winning ROI stays green even when units are flat. Sample size lives on the Early meter, not on every number.

4 sports · 180 settled

Sorted by units
SportRecordWin%ROIUnitsSample
NFNCAA FootballEarly 0–9
5-271.4%+59.8%+7.17U712U risked
WNBAWNBAEarly 0–9
0-20.0%-100.0%-4U24U risked
NFLNFLEarly 0–9
4-544.4%-21.3%-4.05U919U risked
MLBMLB
84-77-152.2%-3.2%-13.12U162406U risked
  • NFNCAA FootballEarly 0–9

    +7.17U

    Record
    5-2
    Win%
    71.4%
    ROI
    +59.8%
    Sample
    7 · 12U risked
  • WNBAWNBAEarly 0–9

    -4U

    Record
    0-2
    Win%
    0.0%
    ROI
    -100.0%
    Sample
    2 · 4U risked
  • NFLNFLEarly 0–9

    -4.05U

    Record
    4-5
    Win%
    44.4%
    ROI
    -21.3%
    Sample
    9 · 19U risked
  • MLBMLB

    -13.12U

    Record
    84-77-1
    Win%
    52.2%
    ROI
    -3.2%
    Sample
    162 · 406U risked

Performance trend

Cumulative units from public graded positions (singles and parlays).

Cumulative units

End -14.00U

Cumulative units across 180 graded plays. Ending balance -14.00 units.

CLV tracker

Pricing metric — submitted price vs the same book's close.

11 snapshots

+0.02 ptsAvg CLV
45.5%% beat close

CLV distribution

11 snapshots

Closing Line — Closing Line Value (CLV) measures whether the odds on your pick were better or worse than the same book's price at event start. A positive CLV means you captured a better number than the close; a negative CLV means the close was better. CLV is a pricing metric used by serious handicappers to evaluate process — it is not a prediction of future wins, and it does not guarantee profit. SCL only shows CLV on Odds-Verified picks with a recorded closing price. If a close is unavailable, we show an em dash rather than an estimate.

Closing Line — Price vs the same book's closing odds — positive means you beat the close.MoreLess

Closing Line Value (CLV) measures whether the odds on your pick were better or worse than the same book's price at event start. A positive CLV means you captured a better number than the close; a negative CLV means the close was better. CLV is a pricing metric used by serious handicappers to evaluate process — it is not a prediction of future wins, and it does not guarantee profit. SCL only shows CLV on Odds-Verified picks with a recorded closing price. If a close is unavailable, we show an em dash rather than an estimate.

Pick History

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Full proof history. Select Ticket to open one canonical proof receipt.
TicketDatePickGameLineCLVResultUnits
Aug 31, 20263-leg parlayParlayParlay+378—Won7.55U
Aug 31, 2026Texas Rangers -1.5Athletics @ Texas RangersAthletics @ Texas Rangers+100—Won3U
Aug 31, 2026Texas RangersAthletics @ Texas RangersAthletics @ Texas Rangers-210—Won2.38U
Aug 31, 2026Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago CubsMilwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs+101—Loss-2U
Aug 31, 2026Washington NationalsMiami Marlins @ Washington NationalsMiami Marlins @ Washington Nationals-104—Won1.92U
Aug 31, 2026Boston Red Sox -1.5Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red SoxSeattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox+132—Loss-2U
Aug 31, 2026Boston Red SoxSeattle Mariners @ Boston Red SoxSeattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox-154—Won1.95U
Aug 31, 2026Tampa Bay Rays -1.5New York Mets @ Tampa Bay RaysNew York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays+125—Loss-2U
Aug 31, 2026Tampa Bay RaysNew York Mets @ Tampa Bay RaysNew York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays-181—Loss-3U
Aug 31, 2026San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds-138—Won1.45U

About

Find the edge, make money

Analytical approach, I use the data to find an edge

Sports

NFLNFLNBANBANFNCAA FootballNBNCAA BasketballMLBMLBWNBAWNBA

Books

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Specialties

Game propsPlayer props
Joined Aug 2026

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Winible

Play of the Day

This is my premium best bet of the day! This is my high confidence play.

Price and duration

$10 / 3 days

Subscribe on Winible

You are leaving SCL for a third-party storefront. SCL does not process payments or manage subscriptions.

Winible

Week of Premium Picks

7 days of my premium picks

Price and duration

$20 / week

Subscribe on Winible

You are leaving SCL for a third-party storefront. SCL does not process payments or manage subscriptions.

SCL provides record transparency only. Payments and subscriptions are handled by third-party storefronts. Records are informational and do not guarantee future outcomes.